Odd$
Did you buy a Mega Millions ticket today? As I write this, the drawing has not been
held yet, but there is a chance that someone will win $636 million tonight. Actually
the chance is 1-in-259,000,000. There is
zero chance I will win because I did not by a ticket. I was busy.
But I have purchased them in the past despite the odds. One shot in 259 million is still better than
zero.
So those odds involve huge numbers and it’s difficult to
picture what that really means. So with
the help of a web site I stumbled on, let’s look at a few things that are more
likely to happen to you than winning enough money to buy a million dollar condo
in each of your favorite 600 cities.
Your odds of being diagnosed with hemorrhoids is
25-t0-1. Flying with a drunk pilot?
117-to-1. I’d rather have
hemorrhoids. Actually I did. TMI?
What are the odds of bowling a perfect 300? 11,500-to-1.
Dating a supermodel? 88,000-to-1.
Where do I buy that ticket? All
things considered, those look like good odds.
There is a 576,000-to-1 chance you or I will be struck by lightning.
Here is my favorite:
The odds of being crushed to death by a vending machine are
112,000,000-to-1. Still better odds than
winning tonight’s Mega Million jackpot.
If you could buy tickets for a chance to have any of those
things happen to you, would you?
Supermodel, yes. The others,
no. Of course there is no good reason to
want to ‘win’ any of those prizes. But
the possibility of winning $636, 000, 000 for an ‘investment’ of one
dollar? I like the odds no matter how
small. And you?
Comments